Futures Forum with Atlantic Council

Futures Forum hosted by Atlantic Council for the Army Future Studies Group
The Character of Warfare 2030-2050: Technological Change, the International System, and the State
Click Here to Download the Report
Futures Compendium
Prominent Speakers include:
Major General William Hix
Director, Strategy, Plans, and Policy
and Deputy Chief of Staff G-3/5/7
US Army
Major General (Ret.) Robert Scales
Military Analyst and Author
Max Brooks
Author and Nonresident Senior Fellow,
Brent Scowcroft Center on International Security
Atlantic Council
Lee Grubbs
Director, Mad Scientist Initiative,
Training and Doctrine Command
US Army
Alison Sander
Director, Center for Sensing and Mining the Future
Boston Consulting Group
Thomas Campbell
Founder
FutureGrasp LLC
Amy Zalman
Futurist
Strategic Narrative Institute
As disruptive geopolitical, demographic, and technological trends converge, the task of envisioning the future has never been more difficult or important. Understanding and preparing for tomorrow’s challenges has always been a fraught task. But today its complexity is greater than ever. To be prepared for tomorrow’s military challenges requires forethought, agility, and adaptability. This is best achieved by harnessing diverse perspectives and robust discourse. To this end, The Atlantic Council’s Emergent Futures Lab has teamed up with the US Army’s Future Studies Group and Training and Doctrine Command to bring together a diverse range of experts to explore different approaches to thinking about the future, discuss some of the likely characteristics of the future operating environment, and analyze the implications for future Army force development.
Panel discussions for the event will include:
Agile or Divergent Thinking of the Future
Introduction to the Future Operational Environment
Application of Futures Study for Army Purposes
Benefits and Risks of Future Forecasting Methodologies
On Twitter? Follow @ACScowcroft and join the conversation with #ACEmergentFutures.
Atlantic Council
1030 15th Street NW, 12th Floor (West Tower Elevator
Washington, DC 20005
 
 
Agenda
8:30 – 9:00 a.m. Registration
9:00 – 9:15 a.m. Welcome and Introduction
Barry Pavel, Senior Vice President, Arnold Kanter Chair, andDirector, Brent Scowcroft Center on International Security, Atlantic Council
Major General William Hix, Director of Strategy, Plans, and Policy;Deputy Chief of Staff G-3/5/7, US Army
John Watts, Nonresident Senior Fellow, Brent Scowcroft Center on International Security, Atlantic Council
9:15 – 10:45 a.m. Session I: Agile or Divergent Thinking of the Future
Panel discussion on balancing divergent and convergent ways of thinking in order to produce a result which is exploratory and creative yet rooted in facts, numbers, and explicitly stated rational assumptions.
Facilitator: John Watts
Max Brooks, Author, World War Z; Nonresident Senior Fellow, Brent Scowcroft Center on International Security, Atlantic Council
Alison Sander, Director,Center for Sensing and Mining the Future, Boston Consulting Group
Dr. Conrad Tucker, Associate Professor, School of Engineering Design Technology and Professional Programs, Penn State University
Ken Liu, Author, The Paper Menagerie, The Grace of Kings (via Skype)
10:45 – 11:00 a.m. Coffee Break
11:00 – 12:30 p.m. Session II: Introduction to the Future Operational Environment
Panel discussion on thinking about the future environment, why it is important to think carefully about it, and the challenges and opportunities of doing so.
Facilitator: Alex Ward, Staff Writer, International Security and Defense, Vox News
Major General (Ret) Robert Scales, Military Analyst and Author
Frank Kramer, Distinguished Fellow,Brent Scowcroft Center on International Security, Atlantic Council
Trina Phillips, Science Fiction Writer and Futurist(via Skype)
12:30 – 1:30 p.m. Lunch
1:30 – 3:00 p.m. Session III: Application of Futures Study for Army Purposes
Panel discussion exploring how various futures methodologies can be used to achieve Army goals.
Facilitator: Dr. Ben Jensen, Associate Professor, Marine Corps University
Major General William Hix
Dr. David Stepp, Program Manager, US Army Research Laboratory
Lee Grubbs, Director, Mad Scientist Initiative, Training and Doctrine Command (TRADOC), US Army
3:00 – 3:15 p.m. Coffee Break
3:15 – 4:45 p.m. Session IV: Benefits and Risks of Future Forecasting Methodologies
Panel discussion on different approaches to futures methodologies and the risks and opportunities that different methodologies provide.
Facilitator: Alexandra Di Cocco, Foresight, Strategy and Risks Initiative, Atlantic Council
Dr. Amy Zalman, Futurist, Strategic Narrative Institute
David Bohl, Research Associate, Frederick S. Pardee Center for International Futures, University of Denver
Dr. Chris Stowe, War Studies Department Head,Command and Staff College, Marine Corps University
Dr. Thomas Campbell, Founder, FutureGrasp, LLC (via Skype)
4:45 – 5:00 p.m. Summary and Discussion
John Watts
Colonel Bradley Martsching, Director, Future Studies Group, US Army